Pete Gawtry Fitness · Corporate Wellbeing

Your Wellbeing Budget Isn’t The Problem. The Turnout Is.

British employers have never offered more health benefits, and roughly three-quarters of staff never touch them. Almost everything that looks like failure in workplace wellbeing comes back to that one gap.

If You Read Nothing Else

  1. The absence figure in your board pack is roughly a fifth of what poor health actually costs you. The rest is people at work, not working well.
  2. Two causes — mental health and bad backs — take nearly three-quarters of all days lost. For one of them, exercise is in the clinical guideline.
  3. Wellbeing programmes test badly in trials for one reason: hardly anyone uses them. Of those who do, 85% say they were useful.
  4. So the question isn’t whether exercise works. It’s whether anyone turns up. That is the part I’m paid to fix.

The Number You’re Looking At Is The Small One

Every managing director I meet can quote their absence rate. Almost nobody can tell me what ill health actually costs them, because the figure they track only counts the people who stayed at home.

Absence is up sharply — the same annual survey had it at 5.8 days per employee before the pandemic. It’s 9.4 now. But that rise isn’t the interesting part.

A man blowing his nose at his desk, surrounded by used tissues
The half that gets recorded. Someone is either in or they are not.
The gap between recorded sickness absence and productive time lost A common-zero comparison of 9.4 recorded sickness absence days with 49.7 productive days lost per employee per year. The latter comprises 43.6 days of presenteeism and 6.1 days of formal absence. THE GAP · DAYS PER EMPLOYEE PER YEAR WHAT GETS RECORDED IS NOT WHAT GETS LOST Same zero. Same unit. Two very different views of the working year. 0 9.4 SICKNESS ABSENCE what HR records 49.7 PRODUCTIVE DAYS LOST 43.6 presenteeism 6.1 TOTAL PRODUCTIVE LOSS formal absence + presenteeism 5.3× THE RECORDED FIGURE COMMON ZERO · LINEAR SCALE

The gap · days per employee per year

What gets recorded is not what gets lost

Same zero, same unit, same scale. Two very different views of the working year.

Sickness absencewhat HR records

9.4

Total productive lossabsence + presenteeism

49.7

6.1 formal absence · 43.6 presenteeism

5.3×the figure your absence report shows you

Common zero · linear scale

Absence: CIPD Health and Wellbeing at Work, 2025 (survey of 1,100+ UK employers). Productive days lost: Britain’s Healthiest Workplace, 2023 — 6.1 days of formal absence plus 43.6 days of presenteeism. Self-reported, so treat it as the upper end of the range, not a precise figure.

The taller column is presenteeism: the person at their desk with back pain, or three hours’ sleep, or a head full of something they haven’t told you about, getting through a fraction of their day.

It is never recorded, it appears in no report, and it is seven times bigger than the number you are managing. On Deloitte’s modelling it accounts for about £24bn of a £51bn annual bill to UK employers.

You are already paying for this. The only question is whether you get anything back for it.

A man sitting at a laptop in an open-plan office with his head in his hand
The half that does not. He is at work, he is on the payroll, and he is getting through a fraction of his day.

What’s Actually Taking The Days

It’s worth being precise about why people are off, because it decides what an employer can sensibly do.

Where UK working days were lost in 2024 to 2025 One hundred tiles represent the 40.1 million working days lost. Fifty-five tiles represent stress, depression or anxiety, eighteen represent musculoskeletal conditions, and twenty-seven represent all other causes. WHERE THE DAYS GO · UK · 2024/25 MORE THAN HALF IS MENTAL ILL HEALTH 40.1 MILLION DAYS lost to work-related ill health and injury 1 TILE = 1% Area and count both encode share. 55% STRESS / DEPRESSION / ANXIETY 22.1m days 18% MUSCULOSKELETAL 7.1m days 27% ALL OTHER 10.9m days 100 TILES · EXACT PERCENTAGE SPLIT

Where the days go · UK · 2024/25

More than half is mental ill health

One tile is one per cent of the 40.1 million days.

40.1mworking days lost to work-related
ill health and injury
55%Stress, depression or anxiety22.1m
18%Musculoskeletal7.1m
27%All other10.9m

100 tiles · exact percentage split

Health and Safety Executive, Great Britain, 2024/25. Accredited Official Statistics.

Two things take nearly three-quarters of it. And the second one is where I want to stop, because it’s the one place in this entire article where I can point at a clinical recommendation rather than an association.

For low back pain, NICE guidance to the NHS is to “consider a group exercise programme”. Cochrane’s review — 249 trials, more than 24,000 people — found exercise reduced pain by around 15 points on a 100-point scale against no treatment or usual care.

Musculoskeletal problems cost 7.1 million working days a year. Exercise is in the guideline for treating them. Most people never get it, because nobody organises it.

What Training Does To Illness

Now the part everybody asks about, and the part where I’m going to disappoint you slightly, because my industry has spent twenty years overselling it.

Regular moderate training is consistently associated with lower chronic inflammatory markers, and in trial evidence with fewer days of respiratory symptoms. That’s real, measurable and reasonably well understood. It is also modest, and it does not keep improving the harder you go. It turns back on you.

The J-curve relationship between training load and relative infection risk A conceptual curve begins at a sedentary baseline risk of one, falls to approximately zero point six with moderate regular training, and rises above baseline with prolonged hard training. A coaching window highlights the trough. THE J-CURVE THE BENEFIT LIVES IN THE TROUGH CONCEPTUAL MODEL Relative upper-respiratory-infection risk; shape established, values indicative. COACHING WINDOW 1.0 baseline HIGHER RELATIVE RISK LOWER RELATIVE RISK ~0.6 LOWEST RELATIVE RISK >1.0 back above baseline SEDENTARY baseline load MODERATE + REGULAR the maintainable trough PROLONGED + HARD recovery becomes critical TRAINING LOAD → DURATION × INTENSITY

Training load vs infection risk

More is not better

The benefit is in the trough. Past it, the risk climbs back.

RISKbaselinethe trough is the pointsedentaryvery heavy

Shape after Nieman’s J-curve model · illustrative, not a dataset

Shape after Nieman’s J-curve model (1994 onwards). This is a model of a relationship reported across several studies, not a single dataset — the shape is well established, the exact values are not. Shown because it is the honest picture: the benefit is in the trough, and a coach’s job is keeping people there.

That shape is the whole argument for coaching rather than encouragement. Telling a sedentary workforce to “get active” sends some of them straight past the useful part of the curve and out the other side, into the fortnight where they’re more likely to pick something up, not less.

What I’m not going to claim. I won’t tell you exercise “boosts the immune system” — that phrase means nothing, and the curve above is why. I won’t tell you it prevents any particular infection.

And I won’t quote you the industry’s favourite line, that wellness returns £3.27 for every £1. It comes from before-and-after studies of firms that chose to take part. When researchers finally ran a properly randomised trial, the return disappeared.

If I put that number in front of you and you looked it up, you’d be right to stop believing everything else on this page.

So Why Does Workplace Wellbeing Keep Failing?

Two serious studies — the RAND workplace wellness study, and a randomised trial at the University of Illinois — found that wellness programmes moved almost nothing. Not absence, not spending, not productivity.

I’d rather hand you that myself than have you find it later.

But look at what they tested: gym discounts, health screenings, seminars, step challenges. Things offered to people. And look at what sat underneath the headline — the staff who took part were already the fit ones. The programmes never reached the people they were bought for.

Three people training with dumbbells in a group session
Turnout is the game. Everything else follows it.
The turnout gap in employer health benefits One hundred employees are represented in four equal lanes of twenty-five. Only one lane passes through the benefits threshold. Of the twenty-five who use any measure, eighty-five percent say it was useful. Employers offer approximately forty-seven measures. THE TURNOUT GAP THE PROGRAMMES WORK. THE TURNOUT DOESN’T. Four equal groups approach the offer. Only one group uses anything. 100 EMPLOYEES 4 GROUPS × 25 ≈47 HEALTH MEASURES OFFERED 75 STOP HERE 25 IN 100 USE ANY 85% OF USERS SAY USEFUL THE VALUE IS ALREADY THERE. THE COMMERCIAL PROBLEM IS GETTING PEOPLE THROUGH. EACH MARK = 1 EMPLOYEE · EXACT 25/100 SPLIT

The turnout gap

The programmes work. The turnout doesn’t.

One mark is one employee. Roughly 47 health measures are on offer to all of them.

25Use any of what is offeredin 100
75Never touch itin 100
85%of the people who do use something say it was useful. The value is already there.

Each mark = 1 employee · exact 25/100 split

Britain’s Healthiest Workplace, 2023. Employers offered an average of ~47 health and wellbeing measures.

The studies didn’t prove wellbeing doesn’t work. They proved nobody turns up.

Eighty-five per cent of the people who used something said it was useful. The benefit was never the weak link. Getting a human being through the door was.

And that is a fixable problem, because it isn’t a medical one. It’s the same reason a January gym membership doesn’t make anybody fit, and the same reason people who train with a coach are still training in March.

What We Do About It

The whole model is built around turnout, because turnout is the thing every study says is broken.

  1. A real coach, in the room, at a fixed time. Not an app you’re meant to remember and not a discount code. Someone who notices you weren’t there and asks why.
  2. Built around the person, not the average. Bad backs, dodgy knees, pregnancy, menopause, coming back after illness. The people who need it most are exactly the ones a generic gym benefit never reaches.
  3. Progressive and moderate, on purpose. The bottom of that curve, not the far side of it. Knowing where to stop is most of what a coach is for.
  4. Made competitive, deliberately. Teams score points, there’s a table, and it resets every Monday. Turnout is the entire game.

What It Has To Be Worth

I’m not going to give you a return-on-investment multiple. Here instead is the only calculation I think is honest: how far the needle has to move before it pays for itself.

An older man bench pressing while a personal trainer spots him
Someone who notices you weren’t there. That is the entire mechanism.
Break-even value from productive days recovered Two straight lines show annual value recovered per employee from zero to five productive days. At one hundred and fifty pounds per day, five days equal seven hundred and fifty pounds. At two hundred and fifty pounds per day, five days equal one thousand two hundred and fifty pounds. BREAK-EVEN · NOT AN ROI CLAIM HOW MANY PRODUCTIVE DAYS HAVE TO COME BACK? Find your annual programme cost per employee on the left; read across, then down. £0 £250 £500 £750 £1,000 £1,250 VALUE RECOVERED / EMPLOYEE / YEAR £1,250 AT £250 / DAY £750 AT £150 / DAY £250 £500 £750 £1,000 £150 £300 £450 £600 0 1 2 3 4 5 PRODUCTIVE DAYS RECOVERED PER EMPLOYEE → RECOVERED VALUE = DAYS RECOVERED × VALUE OF A PRODUCTIVE DAY NO ROI MULTIPLE ASSUMED

Break-even · productive days per person

How far the needle has to move

Against 49.7 productive days lost, this is the entire ask.

Recover 4 daysof the 49.7

4 days = 8% · the other 45.7 are still lost

£600a year per personat £150 a day
£1,000a year per personat £250 a day

Put your own day rate in. A fair starting point is salary ÷ working days.

Illustrative break-even frame, not a forecast

Illustrative. Value of a recovered day is shown at two assumptions so you can substitute your own — a fair starting point is salary ÷ working days. This is a break-even frame, not a claim about what the programme will deliver.

Set against 49.7 productive days lost, recovering one is a 2% improvement. That’s the bar. Not a transformation — one day, per person, per year.

I can’t promise you that, and I’d be wary of anyone who does. What I can tell you is that the thing standing between an employer and any result at all is turnout — and turnout is the part I know how to fix.

Related
More on how the corporate programme runs, what it costs and who it’s for: Corporate wellbeing at Pete Gawtry Fitness.

Sources

  • CIPD Health and Wellbeing at Work, 2025 — 9.4 days’ absence per employee; 5.8 pre-pandemic
  • HSE Summary statistics for Great Britain, 2024/25 — 40.1m days lost; 22.1m stress, depression or anxiety; 7.1m musculoskeletal
  • Deloitte Mental health and employers, 2024 — £51bn annual cost to UK employers, ~£24bn of it presenteeism
  • Britain’s Healthiest Workplace (Vitality), 2023 — ~47 measures offered, ~25% take-up, 85% found useful, 49.7 productive days lost (6.1 absence + 43.6 presenteeism)
  • NICE NG59 1.2.2 — “consider a group exercise programme” for low back pain
  • Cochrane Hayden et al., Exercise therapy for chronic low back pain, 2021 (CD009790.pub2) — pain −15.2 points/100 vs no treatment or usual care
  • RAND Workplace Wellness Programs Study · Jones, Molitor & Reif, Illinois Workplace Wellness Study (NBER) — null findings, cited deliberately
  • Nieman — J-curve model, training load and upper respiratory infection

This article is general information for employers, not medical advice. Anything that involves a specific person’s health — a bad back, a new symptom, a return to work after illness — belongs with their GP or a clinician first.

Where To Start

A conversation, and an honest look at what your own absence data says. If it tells me a programme won’t shift anything for you, I’d rather say so than sell you twelve months of it. Suite 1, Arena Business Park, Tarn Lane, Leeds, LS17 9BF.

Book a Free Consultation →

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